FCST: June 11th, 2007- MN/IA/WI

dean · #1 06-05-2007, 04:33 AM

Not to take away from the risk on Wednesday, but i dont have a whole lot of interest in it since i have no chance of getting out there anyways. I noticed another disturbance coming across the upper Midwest next monday and this really caught my attention on the GFS because i will be able to chase then, and hey atleast we may have another storm on the way. not even gonna try to go in to detail since its still 180 hours out, but for now it looks like the low will swing down in to CO/KS by Tuesday with a warm front moving up through IA/MN/WI, maybe a dryline in TX/OK? Something to keep an eye on after Wednesday.

dean · #2 06-08-2007, 08:50 PM

i haven't looked at models since i posted this but i noticed the SPC has 3 different days with risks, all of which may be chase days for me, depending on how each one looks. hoping to finally get in another chase, havent been out since March 25th.

dean · #3 06-10-2007, 07:15 AM

still keeping an eye on this. GFS has winds coming from the southeast over the eastern half of SD, with winds coming out of the W/WSW at the 200 mb level, decent moisture but the WRF shows winds quite a bit weaker at the mid levels. Gonna take a look tomorrow at WRF and see if it has changed, but if the moisture verifies we will have temps 80-85 with dew points 65-70. looking at somewhere east (maybe north too) of Pierre right now as a prelim target.