A less active week ahead

[Jimrin1967]

It looks like a much less active week ahead in the severe wx department. The most active day looks to be Memorial Day with a severe threat running from eastern MO to western OH, perhaps a moderate risk warranted across southern IL and IN. After that, there isn't much in the way of ingredients for severe wx. It will be very humid with dewpoints 70+ across the southern Plains on Tuesday and that air moves across the SE for Wednesday. There are a few weak bundles of energy forecast in the flow and that could trigger an isolated severe storm just because the atmosphere is so moist. But nothing organized like we saw this past late week and early weekend. The " chewball" that impacted the west this weekend will be lifting into the northern Plains late this week. It could bring some severe weather to parts of the central and northern Plains on Thursday and into the midwest on Friday. Its a weakening system, however, so I think its more likely to be a stratiform rain with embedded thunderstorms than a severe wx outbreak.