Most people are not familar with CAD's. Check the wiki link for more information on it. :) Its very unique to the southeast and according to the latest AFD, it is likely.
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FXUS62 KFFC 101951
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
351 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2006
.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLD TO SCT TSRA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
STORMS ARE QUITE STRONG BUT NO REPORTS OF SVR WEATHER AS OF THIS
WRITING. ACTIVITY SHOULD DECREASE OR DISSIPATE BY 10 PM.
MORE ORGANIZED STORMS AND SVR WEATHER EVENT LIKELY ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. MODERATELY STRONG WNW FLOW ALOFT WHICH
PRODUCED VERY ACTIVE MCS ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST LAST NIGHT
SHOULD AGAIN PRODUCE SVR STORMS AND OVERNIGHT MCS OVER THE MIDWEST
AND OH VALLEY. GFS AND NAM BOTH SHOW SIMILAR PATTERN AND STRENGTH.
STRONG SFC ANTICYCLONE DEVELOPS BEHIND S/W WITH 1022MB HIGH
CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES. FRONT PROGGED TO MOVE INTO TN/KY BY
18Z FRI BY GFS/NAM/UKMET. WITH 25-30KT 500MB WNWLY FLOW AND SFC
FRONT... SHOULD SEE SUFFICIENT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LOW LEVEL
FORCING FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IF AFTERNOON TEMPS GO
ABOVE MAV GUIDANCE...WHICH WE EXPECT...SHOULD BE MORE THAN
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY. STRONGEST STORMS WILL PRODUCE HAIL TO
GOLF BALL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH. GREATEST THREAT WILL BE
OVER NORTH GA WHERE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SFC CONVERGENCE WILL
BE GREATEST.
FRONT SAGS INTO CENTRAL GA BY 12Z SAT WITH WEDGING PATTERN
APPEARANT ON NAM/GFS/UKMET OVER NE GA. SHOULD SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF
TSRA ON FRONT SAT AFTERNOON MAINLY SOUTH COLUMBUS TO MACON LINE.
SVR WX THREAT SOMEWHAT LOWER AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NOT AS
IMPRESSIVE. HIGH TEMPS SAT ACROSS NE GA WILL BE PLEASANT IF MODELS
VERIFY. HAVE GONE A LITTLE ABOVE GUIDANCE...BUT STILL SHOWING MAX
TEMPS IN THE MID 80S. GUIDANCE POPS LOOK GOOD...PERHAPS A LITTLE
HIGH FOR FRI AFTERNOON IN NORTH GA.
.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
NO MAJOR CHANGES PLANNED FOR LONG TERM PERIOD. GFS STILL INDICATES
RIDGING ALOFT WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE SERN U.S. AS LARGE HIGH
OVER LOW BLOCK OVER THE NRN ATLANTIC REDEVELOPS FURTHER EAST NEAR
THE U.K. SHOULD SEE TEMPS RISE BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL READINGS...BUT
HOPEFULLY NOT AS HOT AS WE SAW EARLIER THIS WEEK.
SNELSON[/b]
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